- The central and western states are most likely to see above average temperatures.
- Temperatures may be near average in the east.
- Florida and the Northwest can be humid while the Midwest is drier than average.
November could return to a milder temperature pattern in the western two-thirds of the country after a persistent cold snap in many of the same regions, according to an updated forecast released Saturday by The Weather Company, IBM Business, and Atmopheric G2.
Temperatures likely to be warmer than average in the Midwest, Plains, and West: An area extending from Montana and the Dakotas to parts of Nevada, Utah and Arizona could enjoy warmer temperatures than average November.
A large percentage of the Midwest, as well as other parts of the Plains and West, are also expected to be above average.
Most areas of the East could see temperatures close to average: November will start with cooler than average air across much of the East, but there is some uncertainty about what to expect for the rest of the month.
“There is little uncertainty about how quickly warming will occur in the east, given recent model trends, so although we have made notable changes to the forecast, there is still more risk of cold in the east,” the doctor said. Todd Crawford, deputy chief meteorologist at Atmospheric G2.
Corners of the country could see a wet month as the Midwest trends dry: Florida and the Pacific Northwest are the areas most favored for wetter than average conditions in November.
Winters are typically wetter than average in Florida during El Niño, so the potential for rain in November could be a harbinger of what to expect in the next few months.
Areas from the Central Plains to the Great Lakes have the highest chance of below-average precipitation. This could worsen ongoing drought conditions in parts of Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa and Missouri, as well as in parts of other neighboring states.
(More: When the first accumulating snow usually arrives)
Chris Dolce He has been a senior meteorologist at Weather.com for over 10 years after starting his career with The Weather Channel in the early 2000s.
The Weather Company's primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment, and the importance of science in our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.