The future is not guaranteed until it passes, but successful cryptocurrency investors have relied on the strength of recurring patterns in these historical trends.
Here are 12 tips about the Bitcoin halving cycle from cryptocurrency influencers on X, the social media site formerly known as Twitter.
1. It's still early in this half cycle
It may be strange for traders to venture out into new waters and make purchases in BTC right after a new all-time high. But as seasoned traders know, and as you can see from the 2013 Bitcoin price chart above, it's too early.
Set stop losses, make trading plans, and stay updated on the market and news, but a timid buyer will miss out on the consequences of a massive price increase on cryptocurrency exchanges if Bitcoin follows the four-year pattern it has done over the past three cycles.
2. Never sell Bitcoin
It is absolutely dangerous to short sell Bitcoin. Investors can easily lose all the money they have in such a risky operation. When you short sell Bitcoin just like with stocks, you take losses based on how high the prices rise in the markets.
The price of Bitcoin moves up suddenly and violently on a regular basis, sometimes achieving double-digit percentage gains in a single day of trading. As a result, short Bitcoin traders can easily lose all the money in their portfolios.
3. Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. Savings
Bitcoin has incredibly, radically, astonishingly, almost miraculously outperformed spot gold prices and savings account returns. Because the difference is so large, it has ironically turned away many potential adopters.
Many believe that it is too good to be true without some kind of catch as a result of Bitcoin ROI investments. They were used to the pre-internet world when that was really impossible.
But today, with everything connected, it was possible to get the kind of money velocity and momentum to generate that level of growth, especially for a disruptive financial product with a high value proposition.
4. Halving kills the available supply
It would be good for fundamental analysts and long-term thinkers to realize that the supply of Bitcoin available for trading on exchanges has been decreasing since the third halving. This is a radical change in the basic calculations of economics that underlie Bitcoin prices.
Bitcoin supplies on exchanges increased until the first halving. After the second half, available supply decreased somewhat, but increased again before the third half. But after the third half, trading supplies declined and did not stop declining.
If you're predicting BTC prices based on supply and demand, this is incredibly bullish for spot Bitcoin holders with hard wallets, cryptocurrency exchange Bitcoin traders, and their respected friends, with 1.5% of their portfolio moving into a spot ETF with Fidelity or BlackRock.
5. Half-cycle calendar
It's almost that time.
Fifth
6. Bitcoin maximum timetable
7. Target price for 2030: $682 thousand
8. Polaroid Infographic: Bitcoin Still Short
9. 21 Bitcoin per 8,000 people
10. Bitcoin against the dollar
11. Bitcoin versus gold
