The second anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine comes as America prepares to hold critical elections, and while funding for a Ukrainian victory remains blocked in a divided Congress.
As our region Eyewitness reports on the front lines It appears that Vladimir Putin has the upper hand.
Western leaders have repeatedly warned that Putin would not stop at Ukraine if given the opportunity. He reminds us that even on the eve of his invasion two years ago, Putin insisted that he would not move into Ukraine.
The recent war between Ukraine and Russia: Putin “may achieve the goal of the war”
So, what might happen in the coming months and years?
Here are two scenarios. Out of reach? It depends on whether the speech is accurate.
First scenario:
It's March 2025 and a few weeks later Donald Trump It was opened as well The 47th President of America.
Donald Trump
Air Force One has just landed in Istanbul where Turkey is hosting the “Donbas Peace Summit” where an agreement will be signed by the presidents. Put it in And Zelensky.
In Topkapi Palace overlooking the Bosphorus River, the stage was set for a Trump-brokered “peace” treaty.
The treaty comes three months after Ukrainian arms supplies ran out completely following the US refusal to pass funding bills and the collapse of European unity.
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This moment in Istanbul is the fulfillment of President Trump's campaign pledge to resolve the Ukraine war in one day.
It took more than a day, but Zelensky was cornered by a lack of Western weapons.
Closed meetings between Trump administration officials and the Kremlin (the contents of which were not disclosed) led to an agreement: Ukraine agreed to cede the entire Donbass region in eastern Ukraine to the enlarged Russian Federation.
Inside Topkapi Palace, Zelensky took the stage for the first time, stone-faced and wearing a suit instead of an army uniform for the first time since the Russian invasion three years ago.
He signed the document and left the room without acknowledging President Trump, who was presiding at that moment.
(Photo: Reuters)
Minutes later, and separately, President Putin appeared smiling, signed the document and shook hands with the US President.
Three years later, in the spring of 2028, the Russian army, which had been massing on Europe's eastern flank, invaded Latvia and Estonia.
The two European countries fell quickly.
NATO, which Trump's America abandoned a year ago, was unable to defend them.
By the summer of 2029, Chinese President Xi Jinping begins an air and sea invasion of Taiwan.
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Second scenario:
March 2025. Air Force One lands at Kiev International Airport. Joe Bidenrecently re-elected President of America, descends the plane's steps with a rare spring in his cautious step.
(Photo: AP)
On the runway, he is embraced by Ukrainian President Zelensky, wearing a suit. Some observers said they saw tears in his eyes.
A week earlier, Russian President Putin had withdrawn his last forces from eastern Ukraine after a bitter winter battle in which an estimated 40,000 soldiers on both sides were killed.
Putin's army has been decimated by the massive increase in weapons coming from Europe and the United States.
The result of the three-year war was the almost complete degradation of the Russian army.
This was exacerbated by the sudden thaw in US-China relations and Beijing's subsequent abandonment of Moscow.
(Photo: Reuters)
A radical shift in the geopolitics of the Middle East also helped determine Russia's fate.
The resignation of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his subsequent conviction in the October 7 investigation in September 2024 paved the way for an Israeli-Saudi normalization agreement.
This isolated Iran and affected Tehran's relations with Moscow.
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Far fetched then? Very likely. Donald Trump's first presidency has shown that his unpredictability often cancels out his wild rhetoric.
Biden's second term is full of profound unknowns. Whether Republican or Democrat, America seems far less engaged than it used to be.
In a world of such confusing flux, where global geopolitics is so closely linked, we don't rule anything out.
