- The wet pattern has returned to the south and will continue through Monday.
- Severe storms could develop, including an isolated tornado threat.
- Locally heavy rain may lead to flooding in areas.
Heavy rain and thunderstorms could lead to flooding and also contribute to the threat of severe weather, including possible tornadoes, as a new storm system tracks across the South through Monday.
This is what we are watching in the south now: This return to a wet pattern in the region is still in its early stages, with continued rain and some thunderstorms as moisture returns before a cold front approaches. Here's a look at the latest radar.
We expect more widespread rain and storms to spread across the region from Saturday into Monday in conjunction with a cold front and a wave of strong low pressure that will eventually extend along its length.
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Here's the timing for this wet and windy setup:
-Saturday-Saturday night: Moderate to heavy rain may lead to localized flooding, especially from eastern Texas into the Mississippi and lower Tennessee valleys. An isolated severe weather threat in Texas, including a possible tornado, could develop from around Austin and San Antonio to Houston.
-Sunday – Sunday night: Chances of severe thunderstorms will increase. The area with the greatest chance of seeing severe storms producing damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado threat extends from East Texas starting in the morning to parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama later in the day and evening. Heavy rains could lead to localized flooding in the area, especially from Mississippi eastward into northern and central Georgia and the western Carolinas.
-Monday -Monday night: The chance of severe weather may persist from southeast Alabama into parts of Georgia, northern Florida and southern South Carolina. Wind damage and an isolated tornado threat could accompany any severe storms in these areas. Localized flash flooding due to heavy rain is possible from eastern Carolinas to Georgia.
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Here's how much rain this wet setup might produce: Rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected anywhere from parts of East Texas to the Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley and Southeast. Locally heavier totals are possible, especially when any rain bands stop or move slowly for some time.
While this rainfall will help reduce drought in parts of the South, heavy rain falling too quickly could lead to flash flooding, as previously mentioned.
Chris Dolce He has been a senior meteorologist at Weather.com for over 10 years after starting his career with The Weather Channel in the early 2000s.
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