opinion
In 2020, Joe Biden barely beat Donald Trump in the presidential race in Georgia — if one assumes all was well.
Georgia even went blue shortly after 2020, with both Senate seats going to Democrats.
Now, a new poll conducted by the Atlanta Journal Constitution (the state newspaper) and the University of Georgia shows Trump leading President Biden in that swing state.
With a lot.
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Georgia is not looking good for Biden according to a new poll heading into 2024
“Trump held a 45 percent to 37 percent lead over the incumbent Democrat among registered voters, according to the poll,” Politico reported. The rest of the respondents — nearly 20 percent — said they were unsure, would not vote in the race or planned to cast their ballot for another candidate. The poll did not mention potential third-party candidates.
“About 62% of respondents have an unfavorable view of Biden’s job performance, with a narrow majority saying they ‘strongly disapprove’ of the incumbent,” Politico added.
This comes at a time when Trump is facing legal problems in Georgia due to so-called “election racketeering.” The possibility of legal sanctions does not seem to matter much to voters in Georgia.
The story continued:
This is roughly in line with Biden's low approval ratings, both nationally and in Georgia. He ended 2023 with a national job approval rating of 39 percent, according to a December Gallup poll.
Biden narrowly won Georgia in 2020, the first time a Democratic presidential candidate has won the state since 1992. Trump tried to pressure Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to “find votes” in the state, and he and his allies falsely accused election workers By fraud. . Two election workers in Georgia won a defamation lawsuit against Trump ally Rudy Giuliani last month.
This poll was conducted before Trump swept the Iowa caucus on Monday.
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Right now, Trump is the man to beat — across the board
Since Biden is the first Democratic presidential candidate to win Georgia in nearly three decades in 2020, it would be a feat to repeat such a victory in 2024 — as Trump continues to put up leading poll numbers across the board.
The American Jewish Committee poll pointed to some factors: “Biden is influenced by soft support among many Democratic and independent voters who were crucial to his narrow 2020 victory over Trump in Georgia, including 10% of black voters who say they do not plan to vote in Presidential election”. Race to the White House ever.
Trump is the Republican Party's front-runner in his party's presidential primary, and is highly competitive in the general election right now if he ends up facing Biden as the Democratic nominee.
Things can change in any election for any candidate, for the worse or the better.
Especially for Donald Trump.
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