summary
A frontal system will develop over the southern Plains early Monday morning. A warm front will rise northward over southern Louisiana in the afternoon to bring in more warm, humid Gulf air to help destabilize the atmosphere. Some severe storms will be possible south of this front. As the cold front approaches from the west toward the night, a line of storms will explode with damaging straight-line winds and compact tornadoes possible.
Storms will bring multiple rounds of rain and may accumulate or train over the same areas multiple times. Flash floods will be a major concern as a Medium risk (3/4) Heavy rains fall over most of the region.
there Enhance risks (3/5) For severe weather in most local areas including Baton Rouge and A Slight risk (2/5) On more northwestern regions.
details
Threats:
• A few tornadoes will be possible as a few strong tornadoes (EF2+) cannot be ruled out.
• Damaging wind gusts are possible with strong storms with large gusts (74 mph+) possible with the main line of storms during the second round.
Shaded areas above indicate danger zones for EF2+ tornadoes and 74+ mph wind gusts.
• Some large hailstones cannot be ruled out.
• Flash floods will be a major concern. a Medium risk (3/4) For flash floods it is placed on the area. a Flash flood monitoring It will be in effect from noon Monday until 9 a.m. Tuesday. Rainfall totals average about 2-4 inches with higher amounts possible locally.
• Winds outside of the storm will be gusty with peak winds around 20-30 mph and gusts up to 50 mph. a Wind consultancy It is in effect from noon on Monday until 6 p.m. on Tuesday. a High wind warning In effect from noon Monday until 3 a.m. Tuesday in South Livingston and Tangipahoa parishes where wind speeds could exceed 50 mph. High winds will cause problems for prominent vehicles and may cause power outages.
•Due to strong winds, a coastal flood warning has been put in place for areas near the water including South Livingston and Tangipahoa parishes. An immersion of about 2-4′ may be possible.
timing:
Some rain and storms are expected starting in the late morning hours and early afternoon.
The first round of severe potential will come in the afternoon/evening with the risk of some tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and hail. (~2pm-9pm)
The second round will come late in the evening/night with a cluster of storms seeing the most severe potential. (~8pm-2am)
Some rain is possible overnight before subsiding by Tuesday morning.
how to prepare
Make sure you have multiple ways to receive weather alerts and keep up with updated forecasts during the day. Make sure your phone is unmuted, charged, and turned on to receive WEA notifications. Turn off Do Not Disturb and take your phone off silent mode so WEA alerts can send to you.
With there being a night aspect to this event, be sure that any alerts or warnings can wake you up as well.
Have a plan and a safe place to go if a warning is issued for your location. Find a low-level interior room away from windows.
You can always check out the interactive radar here.
For the latest forecast information, visit our weather page!
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Follow and keep up with the Storm Tracker team:
Meteorologist Brandon Lashbrook – Twitter | Facebook | e-mail
Meteorologist Ashley Renee – Twitter | Facebook | e-mail