opinion
With the beginning of the new year, new opinion polls also begin regarding the new presidential elections scheduled to be held in November of this year.
While American politics has been somewhat unpredictable lately, when it comes to young and minority voters, things are trending in the wrong direction for incumbent President Joe Biden.
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Trump now leads key parts of Biden's 2020 coalition
Donald Trump, running as a Republican, has posed many challenges to Democrats, particularly maneuvering them to make major changes to their election platforms, especially on foreign policy. What comes next are the traditionally democratic voting blocs.
Ones that Democrats want to keep.
USA Today reports:
President Joe Biden heads into the election year showing alarming weakness among Democratic base supporters, with Donald Trump leading among young Hispanic voters and voters. One in five black voters now say they will support a third-party candidate in November.
In a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll, Biden's failure to consolidate support in key parts of the coalition that elected him in 2020 leaves him narrowly trailing Trump, the likely Republican nominee, 39%-37%; 17% support a third candidate whose name was not mentioned.
…
Biden now claims the support of just 63% of Black voters, a sharp decline from the 87% he received in 2020.According to the Roper Center. He trails among Hispanic voters by five percentage points, 39%-34%; In 2020, he beat Trump among that demographic by 2 to 1, 65%-32%..
And Among voters under the age of 35a generation at great odds with the Republican Party on issues like abortion access and climate change, Trump now leads 37%-33%. Young voters overwhelmingly supported Biden in 2020.
If the center sticks to some of these numbers, the year 2024 will be completely different from 2020.
Will this trend continue heading into 2024?
These large numbers of ethnic minorities and young people are now turning towards Trump, or at least leaving Biden.
As the story notes, these groups were important parts of Biden's coalition in 2020.
With the presidential election just under a year away, will Biden be able to turn this around?
Or will this continue as we just look forward to another presidential term for Donald Trump in 2024?
Stay tuned.